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An AI-Powered Decentralized Prediction Markets Protocol

Kash is a cutting-edge decentralized prediction markets platform that enables anyone to create and trade on outcome markets directly from X (Twitter) posts. Built on Base (Coinbase’s Ethereum Layer-2 network), Kash uses blockchain technology, AI agents, and zero-knowledge cryptography to create a seamless social prediction experience. Unlike traditional prediction markets where only platforms can create markets through approval processes, Kash enables permissionless market creation - anyone can create markets instantly without gatekeepers or restrictions.

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What Makes Kash Different

5 Specialized AI Personas continuously monitor social media trends and automatically create relevant prediction markets:
  • Crypto-Degen Agent: Token listings, ETF approvals, DeFi milestones
  • Sports Agent: Match outcomes, player performance, championship winners
  • Tech Agent: Product launches, AI breakthroughs, earnings results
  • Macro Agent: Interest rate decisions, economic indicators, elections
  • Pop-Culture Agent: Award shows, album drops, celebrity drama
Markets appear instantly when events become trending, ensuring you never miss an opportunity.
Predict directly from X without leaving your feed:
  • Repost market posts with “YES $50” or “NO $100”
  • Interact with @kash_bot using natural language
  • Markets appear in trending social discussions
  • Turn any conversation into a prediction market
No complex interfaces or separate apps required.
Mathematical guarantees, not trust:
  • zkTLS + Zero-Knowledge ML: Cryptographic proof of correct outcomes
  • Non-custodial wallets: You always control your funds
  • Automated resolution: No human bias or manipulation
  • Publicly verifiable: Anyone can verify resolution correctness
Outcomes are proven mathematically, not decided by committees.
Seamless onboarding and trading:
  • 2-click account creation via X login
  • Gas fees sponsored by the protocol
  • Automatic token swaps (use any crypto)
  • No seed phrases or browser extensions needed
Feels like using a traditional app, powered by blockchain.

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How Kash Works

1

Event Detection & Signal Processing

AI Personas Monitor Trending TopicsHow the 5 AI Agents Work Together:
  • Crypto-Degen Agent: Monitors DeFi protocols, token launches, regulatory news, and crypto Twitter influencers
  • Sports Agent: Tracks game schedules, player news, injury reports, and prediction market movements
  • Tech Agent: Follows product launches, earnings calendars, patent filings, and tech industry announcements
  • Macro Agent: Watches economic indicators, Fed meetings, election polls, and geopolitical events
  • Pop-Culture Agent: Scans entertainment news, award shows, celebrity social media, and viral trends
Collaborative Intelligence: Each agent scores potential markets in their specialty, then a coordinator combines scores to identify the highest-potential opportunities. This prevents any single agent from flooding the system and ensures diverse, high-quality market creation across all interest areas.Signal Processing:
  • Real-time monitoring of X, Reddit, news feeds, and existing prediction markets
  • Prediction-Neural Behavioral Score based on engagement, uncertainty, and viral potential
  • Cross-validation between agents prevents duplicate or low-quality markets
  • User requests can also trigger market creation via @kash_bot interactions
2

Market Creation

Automated Market Deployment
  • AI-Generated Markets: Validated trending events automatically become binary prediction markets
  • User-Proposed Markets: @kash_bot processes custom market requests from social media interactions
  • Market Parameters: Question, resolution criteria, trusted data sources, and 30-day maximum deadline are set
  • Smart Contract Deployment: New prediction market contracts deployed on Base blockchain
3

Market Validation

Quality Control & Verification
  • Mira Network Validation: Decentralized validators ensure markets are verifiable, binary, and have reliable sources
  • Content Safety: AI checks prevent prohibited topics (death, harm, manipulation)
  • Resolution Clarity: Verification that outcomes can be determined objectively from specified sources
  • Duplicate Prevention: System prevents creation of identical or overlapping markets
4

Instant Liquidity Bootstrap

Automated Market Making
  • Passive LP Vault: ERC-4626 vault automatically deploys USDC liquidity to new markets
  • Revolutionary AMM Bonding Curve: Zero bootstrap time with built-in leverage, whale resistance, and social intelligence
  • No Cold Start Problem: Every market launches with professional-grade liquidity and minimal slippage
  • Viral Social Dynamics: Advanced bonding curve adapts to trending content with short-term memory for optimal price discovery
5

Trade Execution & Price Discovery

Social Trading Begins
  • Natural Language Prediction: Users place predictions by reposting “YES $50” or “NO $100” to market posts
  • Automatic Token Conversion: 0x aggregation swaps ETH, WETH, or DAI to USDC seamlessly
  • Gas Sponsorship: ERC-4337 paymaster covers all transaction fees for users
  • Intelligent Pricing: Custom bonding curve adjusts prices based on social signals, volume patterns, and time-to-resolution
  • MEV Protection: Large trades protected via private mempools and off-chain RFQ systems
6

Market Resolution

Trustless Outcome Determination
  • Trading Closure: Market automatically closes at predetermined deadline
  • Data Fetching: ElizaOS resolution agent fetches outcome data from pre-specified trusted sources
  • zkTLS Verification: Reclaim Protocol generates cryptographic proof that data came from authentic website
  • AI Analysis: EZKL zero-knowledge ML proves the AI model correctly determined YES/NO outcome
  • Combined Proof: Both proofs merged into single zk-SNARK submitted to resolution contract
7

Automatic Settlement

Instant Payout Distribution
  • Proof Verification: Smart contract verifies the zero-knowledge proof on-chain
  • Winner Determination: Contract automatically determines winning outcome based on verified proof
  • Instant Payout: Winners receive $1.00 per winning share immediately
  • Fund Distribution: Losers receive nothing, funds instantly available in winner wallets
  • Dispute Fallback: Rare edge cases can be challenged through community governance with $KASH token voting

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Market Mechanics

  • How Pricing Works
  • Binary Outcomes
  • Payouts & Fees
Probability-Based PricingMarket prices directly reflect outcome probabilities:
  • YES at $0.70 = 70% implied probability
  • NO at $0.30 = 30% implied probability
  • Always sums to $1.00 for complete market
  • Prices adjust with each trade based on supply and demand
Example:
Market: "Will Bitcoin reach $100k by March 1st?"
YES: $0.65 (65% chance)
NO: $0.35 (35% chance)

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Core Technology Stack

Built on Base for Performance
  • Base Network: Coinbase’s Ethereum Layer-2 for fast, low-cost transactions
  • Smart Contracts: Proprietary bonding curve with social intelligence and whale resistance
  • Account Abstraction: ERC-4337 standard for gasless user experience
  • MPC Wallets: Privy technology for non-custodial key management
  • 0x Integration: Automatic token swaps for seamless prediction
Intelligent Market Management
  • Social Signal Processing: Real-time analysis of trending topics across platforms
  • Market Creation Engine: Automated binary market generation with quality control
  • Natural Language Processing: Understands prediction commands in conversation
  • Resolution System: Cryptographic proof verification of outcomes
  • Risk Management: AI-driven fraud detection and prevention
Trustless Resolution Technology
  • Reclaim Protocol zkTLS: Proves data fetched from websites is authentic
  • EZKL Zero-Knowledge ML: Proves AI models make correct decisions on verified data
  • Combined zk-SNARK proofs: Mathematical guarantee of resolution correctness
  • Privacy-preserving: Proves correctness without revealing unnecessary data
  • Publicly auditable: Anyone can verify resolution was correct
Instant Market Bootstrap
  • Passive LP Vault: Users deposit USDC for automated market making
  • Principal Protection: Original USDC amount guaranteed regardless of outcome
  • Revolutionary Bonding Curve: Advanced memory system tracking time, volume patterns, and social dynamics
  • Smart Rebalancing: Automatic position adjustments as prices change
  • Target 6% APY: From trading fees + protocol rewards + external yield

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What Makes This Revolutionary

Kash represents a fundamental shift in how prediction markets operate. Revolutionary Aspects:
  • Permissionless Market Creation: Anyone can create markets instantly. No centralized processes or human gatekeepers
  • Zero Learning Curve: Predict using natural conversation on familiar social media
  • Truly Decentralized: No human control over market resolution or fund custody
  • Real-Time Creation: Markets appear instantly when events become trending
  • Social Discovery: Organic sharing and discovery replace traditional marketing
  • Cryptographically Secure: Mathematical proofs ensure fair and tamper-proof outcomes
  • Automatic Liquidity: Every market launches with guaranteed liquidity
Key Benefits:
  • For Traders: Access to trending markets the moment they become relevant
  • For Creators: Earn rewards for successful market creation and promotion
  • For Everyone: Participate in collective intelligence gathering with skin in the game
Kash transforms prediction markets from complex financial instruments into natural social conversations with real stakes.

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Economic Model

  • Platform Fee: 2% on all trades
  • Monthly Buybacks: Treasury uses fee revenue for $KASH token buybacks
  • Market Resolution: Automated resolution within 30-day maximum timeframes
  • Leveraged Prediction: Available for qualified users
  • Creator Rewards: Earn $KASH tokens for successful market creation

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