What is Kash?
An AI-Powered Decentralized Prediction Markets Protocol on Base, Fully Embedded into Social Media
An AI-Powered Decentralized Prediction Markets Protocol
Kash is a cutting-edge decentralized prediction markets platform that enables anyone to create and trade on outcome markets directly from X (Twitter) posts. Built on Base (Coinbase’s Ethereum Layer-2 network), Kash uses blockchain technology, AI agents, and zero-knowledge cryptography to create a seamless social prediction experience.
Unlike traditional prediction markets where only platforms can create markets through approval processes, Kash enables permissionless market creation - anyone can create markets instantly without gatekeepers or restrictions.
What Makes Kash Different
AI-Powered Market Creation, Validation & Resolution
AI-Powered Market Creation, Validation & Resolution
5 Specialized AI Personas continuously monitor social media trends and automatically create relevant prediction markets:
- Crypto-Degen Agent: Token listings, ETF approvals, DeFi milestones
- Sports Agent: Match outcomes, player performance, championship winners
- Tech Agent: Product launches, AI breakthroughs, earnings results
- Macro Agent: Interest rate decisions, economic indicators, elections
- Pop-Culture Agent: Award shows, album drops, celebrity drama
Markets appear instantly when events become trending, ensuring you never miss an opportunity.
Social Media Native
Social Media Native
Truly Trustless
Truly Trustless
Mathematical guarantees, not trust:
- zkTLS + Zero-Knowledge ML: Cryptographic proof of correct outcomes
- Non-custodial wallets: You always control your funds
- Automated resolution: No human bias or manipulation
- Publicly verifiable: Anyone can verify resolution correctness
Outcomes are proven mathematically, not decided by committees.
Gasless Experience
Gasless Experience
Seamless onboarding and trading:
- 2-click account creation via X login
- Gas fees sponsored by the protocol
- Automatic token swaps (use any crypto)
- No seed phrases or browser extensions needed
Feels like using a traditional app, powered by blockchain.
How Kash Works
Event Detection & Signal Processing
AI Personas Monitor Trending Topics
How the 5 AI Agents Work Together:
- Crypto-Degen Agent: Monitors DeFi protocols, token launches, regulatory news, and crypto Twitter influencers
- Sports Agent: Tracks game schedules, player news, injury reports, and prediction market movements
- Tech Agent: Follows product launches, earnings calendars, patent filings, and tech industry announcements
- Macro Agent: Watches economic indicators, Fed meetings, election polls, and geopolitical events
- Pop-Culture Agent: Scans entertainment news, award shows, celebrity social media, and viral trends
Collaborative Intelligence: Each agent scores potential markets in their specialty, then a coordinator combines scores to identify the highest-potential opportunities. This prevents any single agent from flooding the system and ensures diverse, high-quality market creation across all interest areas.
Signal Processing:
- Real-time monitoring of X, Reddit, news feeds, and existing prediction markets
- Prediction-Neural Behavioral Score based on engagement, uncertainty, and viral potential
- Cross-validation between agents prevents duplicate or low-quality markets
- User requests can also trigger market creation via @kash_bot interactions
Market Creation
Automated Market Deployment
- AI-Generated Markets: Validated trending events automatically become binary prediction markets
- User-Proposed Markets: @kash_bot processes custom market requests from social media interactions
- Market Parameters: Question, resolution criteria, trusted data sources, and 30-day maximum deadline are set
- Smart Contract Deployment: New prediction market contracts deployed on Base blockchain
Market Validation
Quality Control & Verification
- Mira Network Validation: Decentralized validators ensure markets are verifiable, binary, and have reliable sources
- Content Safety: AI checks prevent prohibited topics (death, harm, manipulation)
- Resolution Clarity: Verification that outcomes can be determined objectively from specified sources
- Duplicate Prevention: System prevents creation of identical or overlapping markets
Instant Liquidity Bootstrap
Automated Market Making
- Passive LP Vault: ERC-4626 vault automatically deploys USDC liquidity to new markets
- Uniswap v4 Integration: Concentrated liquidity positioned around current market probability
- No Cold Start Problem: Every market launches with professional-grade liquidity and minimal slippage
- Continuous Rebalancing: Smart contract hooks automatically adjust liquidity as prices change
Trade Execution & Price Discovery
Social Trading Begins
- Natural Language Prediction: Users place predictions by replying “YES $50” or “NO $100” to market posts
- Automatic Token Conversion: 0x aggregation swaps ETH, WETH, or DAI to USDC seamlessly
- Gas Sponsorship: ERC-4337 paymaster covers all transaction fees for users
- Real-Time Pricing: Constant Product AMM adjusts prices with each trade based on supply and demand
- MEV Protection: Large trades protected via private mempools and off-chain RFQ systems
Market Resolution
Trustless Outcome Determination
- Trading Closure: Market automatically closes at predetermined deadline
- Data Fetching: ElizaOS resolution agent fetches outcome data from pre-specified trusted sources
- zkTLS Verification: Reclaim Protocol generates cryptographic proof that data came from authentic website
- AI Analysis: EZKL zero-knowledge ML proves the AI model correctly determined YES/NO outcome
- Combined Proof: Both proofs merged into single zk-SNARK submitted to resolution contract
Automatic Settlement
Instant Payout Distribution
- Proof Verification: Smart contract verifies the zero-knowledge proof on-chain
- Winner Determination: Contract automatically determines winning outcome based on verified proof
- Instant Payout: Winners receive $1.00 per winning share immediately
- Fund Distribution: Losers receive nothing, funds instantly available in winner wallets
- Dispute Fallback: Rare edge cases can be challenged through community governance with $KASH token voting
Market Mechanics
Probability-Based Pricing
Market prices directly reflect outcome probabilities:
- YES at $0.70 = 70% implied probability
- NO at $0.30 = 30% implied probability
- Always sums to $1.00 for complete market
- Prices adjust with each trade based on supply and demand
Example:
Probability-Based Pricing
Market prices directly reflect outcome probabilities:
- YES at $0.70 = 70% implied probability
- NO at $0.30 = 30% implied probability
- Always sums to $1.00 for complete market
- Prices adjust with each trade based on supply and demand
Example:
Simple YES/NO Structure
Every Kash market has exactly two outcomes:
- YES: The event will happen as stated
- NO: The event will not happen as stated
- Clear resolution criteria specified at market creation
- Verifiable sources predetermined for outcome verification
Market Examples:
- “Will the Lakers win tonight’s game?”
- “Will Apple announce a new iPhone model this month?”
- “Will the Fed raise rates at the next meeting?”
Winner-Take-All System
Winning Scenario:
- Correct outcome shares pay $1.00 each
- Incorrect outcome shares pay $0.00
- 2% platform fee on all trades
- Instant settlement upon market resolution
Example Calculation:
Core Technology Stack
Blockchain Infrastructure
Blockchain Infrastructure
Built on Base for Performance
- Base Network: Coinbase’s Ethereum Layer-2 for fast, low-cost transactions
- Smart Contracts: CPAMM (Constant Product Automated Market Maker) for liquidity
- Account Abstraction: ERC-4337 standard for gasless user experience
- MPC Wallets: Privy technology for non-custodial key management
- 0x Integration: Automatic token swaps for seamless prediction
AI-Powered Operations
AI-Powered Operations
Intelligent Market Management
- Social Signal Processing: Real-time analysis of trending topics across platforms
- Market Creation Engine: Automated binary market generation with quality control
- Natural Language Processing: Understands prediction commands in conversation
- Resolution System: Cryptographic proof verification of outcomes
- Risk Management: AI-driven fraud detection and prevention
Zero-Knowledge Proof System
Zero-Knowledge Proof System
Trustless Resolution Technology
- Reclaim Protocol zkTLS: Proves data fetched from websites is authentic
- EZKL Zero-Knowledge ML: Proves AI models make correct decisions on verified data
- Combined zk-SNARK proofs: Mathematical guarantee of resolution correctness
- Privacy-preserving: Proves correctness without revealing unnecessary data
- Publicly auditable: Anyone can verify resolution was correct
Automated Liquidity System
Automated Liquidity System
Instant Market Bootstrap
- Passive LP Vault: Users deposit USDC for automated market making
- Principal Protection: Original USDC amount guaranteed regardless of outcome
- Uniswap v4 Integration: Concentrated liquidity for maximum capital efficiency
- Smart Rebalancing: Automatic position adjustments as prices change
- Target 6% APY: From trading fees + protocol rewards + external yield
What Makes This Revolutionary
Kash represents a fundamental shift in how prediction markets operate.
Revolutionary Aspects:
- Permissionless Market Creation: Anyone can create markets instantly. No centralized processes or human gatekeepers
- Zero Learning Curve: Predict using natural conversation on familiar social media
- Truly Decentralized: No human control over market resolution or fund custody
- Real-Time Creation: Markets appear instantly when events become trending
- Social Discovery: Organic sharing and discovery replace traditional marketing
- Cryptographically Secure: Mathematical proofs ensure fair and tamper-proof outcomes
- Automatic Liquidity: Every market launches with guaranteed liquidity
Key Benefits:
- For Traders: Access to trending markets the moment they become relevant
- For Creators: Earn rewards for successful market creation and promotion
- For Everyone: Participate in collective intelligence gathering with skin in the game
Kash transforms prediction markets from complex financial instruments into natural social conversations with real stakes.
Economic Model
- Platform Fee: 2% on all trades
- Monthly Buybacks: Treasury uses fee revenue for $KASH token buybacks
- Market Resolution: Automated resolution within 30-day maximum timeframes
- Leveraged Prediction: Available for qualified users
- Creator Rewards: Earn $KASH tokens for successful market creation
Predict directly from X without leaving your feed:
No complex interfaces or separate apps required.