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An AI-Powered Decentralized Prediction Markets Protocol

Kash is a cutting-edge decentralized prediction markets platform that enables anyone to create and trade on outcome markets directly from X (Twitter) posts. Built on Base (Coinbase’s Ethereum Layer-2 network), Kash uses blockchain technology, AI agents, and zero-knowledge cryptography to create a seamless social prediction experience.

Unlike traditional prediction markets where only platforms can create markets through approval processes, Kash enables permissionless market creation - anyone can create markets instantly without gatekeepers or restrictions.

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What Makes Kash Different

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How Kash Works

1

Event Detection & Signal Processing

AI Personas Monitor Trending Topics

How the 5 AI Agents Work Together:

  • Crypto-Degen Agent: Monitors DeFi protocols, token launches, regulatory news, and crypto Twitter influencers
  • Sports Agent: Tracks game schedules, player news, injury reports, and prediction market movements
  • Tech Agent: Follows product launches, earnings calendars, patent filings, and tech industry announcements
  • Macro Agent: Watches economic indicators, Fed meetings, election polls, and geopolitical events
  • Pop-Culture Agent: Scans entertainment news, award shows, celebrity social media, and viral trends

Collaborative Intelligence: Each agent scores potential markets in their specialty, then a coordinator combines scores to identify the highest-potential opportunities. This prevents any single agent from flooding the system and ensures diverse, high-quality market creation across all interest areas.

Signal Processing:

  • Real-time monitoring of X, Reddit, news feeds, and existing prediction markets
  • Prediction-Neural Behavioral Score based on engagement, uncertainty, and viral potential
  • Cross-validation between agents prevents duplicate or low-quality markets
  • User requests can also trigger market creation via @kash_bot interactions
2

Market Creation

Automated Market Deployment

  • AI-Generated Markets: Validated trending events automatically become binary prediction markets
  • User-Proposed Markets: @kash_bot processes custom market requests from social media interactions
  • Market Parameters: Question, resolution criteria, trusted data sources, and 30-day maximum deadline are set
  • Smart Contract Deployment: New prediction market contracts deployed on Base blockchain
3

Market Validation

Quality Control & Verification

  • Mira Network Validation: Decentralized validators ensure markets are verifiable, binary, and have reliable sources
  • Content Safety: AI checks prevent prohibited topics (death, harm, manipulation)
  • Resolution Clarity: Verification that outcomes can be determined objectively from specified sources
  • Duplicate Prevention: System prevents creation of identical or overlapping markets
4

Instant Liquidity Bootstrap

Automated Market Making

  • Passive LP Vault: ERC-4626 vault automatically deploys USDC liquidity to new markets
  • Uniswap v4 Integration: Concentrated liquidity positioned around current market probability
  • No Cold Start Problem: Every market launches with professional-grade liquidity and minimal slippage
  • Continuous Rebalancing: Smart contract hooks automatically adjust liquidity as prices change
5

Trade Execution & Price Discovery

Social Trading Begins

  • Natural Language Prediction: Users place predictions by replying “YES $50” or “NO $100” to market posts
  • Automatic Token Conversion: 0x aggregation swaps ETH, WETH, or DAI to USDC seamlessly
  • Gas Sponsorship: ERC-4337 paymaster covers all transaction fees for users
  • Real-Time Pricing: Constant Product AMM adjusts prices with each trade based on supply and demand
  • MEV Protection: Large trades protected via private mempools and off-chain RFQ systems
6

Market Resolution

Trustless Outcome Determination

  • Trading Closure: Market automatically closes at predetermined deadline
  • Data Fetching: ElizaOS resolution agent fetches outcome data from pre-specified trusted sources
  • zkTLS Verification: Reclaim Protocol generates cryptographic proof that data came from authentic website
  • AI Analysis: EZKL zero-knowledge ML proves the AI model correctly determined YES/NO outcome
  • Combined Proof: Both proofs merged into single zk-SNARK submitted to resolution contract
7

Automatic Settlement

Instant Payout Distribution

  • Proof Verification: Smart contract verifies the zero-knowledge proof on-chain
  • Winner Determination: Contract automatically determines winning outcome based on verified proof
  • Instant Payout: Winners receive $1.00 per winning share immediately
  • Fund Distribution: Losers receive nothing, funds instantly available in winner wallets
  • Dispute Fallback: Rare edge cases can be challenged through community governance with $KASH token voting

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Market Mechanics

Probability-Based Pricing

Market prices directly reflect outcome probabilities:

  • YES at $0.70 = 70% implied probability
  • NO at $0.30 = 30% implied probability
  • Always sums to $1.00 for complete market
  • Prices adjust with each trade based on supply and demand

Example:

Market: "Will Bitcoin reach $100k by March 1st?"
YES: $0.65 (65% chance)
NO: $0.35 (35% chance)

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Core Technology Stack

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What Makes This Revolutionary

Kash represents a fundamental shift in how prediction markets operate.

Revolutionary Aspects:

  • Permissionless Market Creation: Anyone can create markets instantly. No centralized processes or human gatekeepers
  • Zero Learning Curve: Predict using natural conversation on familiar social media
  • Truly Decentralized: No human control over market resolution or fund custody
  • Real-Time Creation: Markets appear instantly when events become trending
  • Social Discovery: Organic sharing and discovery replace traditional marketing
  • Cryptographically Secure: Mathematical proofs ensure fair and tamper-proof outcomes
  • Automatic Liquidity: Every market launches with guaranteed liquidity

Key Benefits:

  • For Traders: Access to trending markets the moment they become relevant
  • For Creators: Earn rewards for successful market creation and promotion
  • For Everyone: Participate in collective intelligence gathering with skin in the game

Kash transforms prediction markets from complex financial instruments into natural social conversations with real stakes.

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Economic Model

  • Platform Fee: 2% on all trades
  • Monthly Buybacks: Treasury uses fee revenue for $KASH token buybacks
  • Market Resolution: Automated resolution within 30-day maximum timeframes
  • Leveraged Prediction: Available for qualified users
  • Creator Rewards: Earn $KASH tokens for successful market creation

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