Features
Market Mechanics
How Prediction Markets Work
Understanding how Kash’s automated market mechanics work helps you make better predictions and maximize returns.
How Market Creation Works
AI agents create all markets through a comprehensive validation process. While users can suggest markets, the actual creation involves rigorous AI evaluation and quality control.Automated Market Detection5 Specialized AI Personas continuously monitor social signals:
- Crypto-Degen Agent: Token listings, ETF approvals, DeFi milestones
- Sports Agent: Match outcomes, player performance, championships
- Tech Agent: Product launches, AI breakthroughs, earnings results
- Macro Agent: Interest rate decisions, economic indicators, elections
- Pop-Culture Agent: Award shows, album drops, celebrity drama
- Signal Detection - AI identifies trending topics with prediction potential
- Quality Assessment - Validates verifiable outcomes and clear criteria
- Market Generation - Creates binary YES/NO markets with resolution parameters
- Instant Deployment - Markets go live with automatic liquidity bootstrap
Core Market Structure
Binary Prediction Markets
Binary Prediction Markets
Simple YES/NO OutcomesEvery Kash market has exactly two possible outcomes:
- YES: The stated event will happen
- NO: The stated event will not happen
- Winner-take-all: Only one outcome can be correct at resolution
- Clear criteria: Each market specifies exact resolution conditions
Share-Based Trading
Share-Based Trading
Custom AMM Bonding Curve
Custom AMM Bonding Curve
Revolutionary Social-Adapted Pricing TechnologyKash uses a proprietary bonding curve that revolutionizes prediction market liquidity:
- Zero Bootstrap Time: Instant liquidity without waiting for providers
- Whale-Resistant Design: Advanced anti-manipulation mechanisms
- Social Intelligence: Adapts to viral content and engagement patterns
- Built-in Leverage: Natural position amplification without borrowing
- Short-term Memory: Context-aware pricing based on recent activity
- Built on Base blockchain for low fees and fast execution
- Smart contracts with integrated social signal processing
- Mathematical curve with time, volume, and engagement variables
- Advanced memory functions for intelligent price discovery
Learn more about our Custom AMM Bonding Curve and its revolutionary advantages.
Pricing and Liquidity
Probability-Based PricingMarket prices directly reflect outcome probabilities:
- YES at $0.70 = 70% implied probability
- NO at $0.30 = 30% implied probability
- Always sums to $1.00 for complete market
- Prices adjust with each trade based on supply and demand
- Buying Pressure: Increases price of purchased outcome
- Selling Pressure: Decreases price of sold outcome
- Trade Size: Larger trades create bigger price impacts
- Market Depth: More liquidity reduces price volatility
Complete Market Lifecycle
1
Market Creation & Validation
AI-Driven Process with Quality Control
- AI agents detect trending topics or process user suggestions
- Validation phase: Mira Network ensures verifiable outcomes and clear criteria
- Content safety: AI checks prevent prohibited topics
- Market parameters set: Question, resolution criteria, trusted sources, 30-day maximum deadline
- Instant Liquidity Bootstrap: Passive LP Vault automatically deploys USDC
2
Active Trading Period
Open Price Discovery
- Continuous trading available 24/7
- Prices fluctuate based on new information and trader activity
- Market consensus develops through collective prediction
- Real-time odds visible in X conversations and web interface
- Maximum duration: 30 days before automatic closure
3
Market Closure
Trading Freeze
- Trading halts at predetermined closure time
- All positions locked at final prices
- No new predictions accepted after closure
- Preparation for automated resolution begins
4
Automated Resolution
AI-Powered Settlement with Cryptographic Proofs
- zkTLS Verification: Reclaim Protocol fetches data with cryptographic proof of authenticity
- AI Analysis: EZKL zero-knowledge ML proves correct YES/NO determination
- Combined Proof: zk-SNARK submitted to resolution contract on Base blockchain
- Instant Settlement: Winners automatically receive $1.00 per winning share
- Platform fee: 2% charged on all predictions
Fee Structure and Economics
Platform Fees
Platform Fees
2% Fee on All TradesFee Application:
- 2% fee on all trades (buying or selling shares)
- No additional fees on winnings, losses, or holding positions
- Transparent calculation shown before and after each trade
Gasless Trading
Gasless Trading
Platform-Sponsored Transactions
- All transaction fees covered by Kash protocol
- ERC-4337 Integration: Account abstraction enables sponsored transactions
- No ETH Required: Users don’t need to hold ETH for gas fees
- Base Network: Low underlying costs due to Layer-2 efficiency
- Market creation transactions
- Prediction placement and position changes
- Resolution and payout transactions
- Wallet funding and withdrawal operations
Slippage Protection
Slippage Protection
Advanced Price Impact MitigationMulti-Layer Protection:Protection Levels:
- Automatic Slippage Limits: 5% maximum slippage on social media predictions
- Dynamic Pricing: Real-time price updates prevent stale price execution
- MEV Protection: Large trades routed through private mempools
- Batch Execution: Multiple trades executed simultaneously at fair prices
- Small Predictions (under $50): 2% maximum slippage tolerance
- Medium Predictions (over $50): 5% maximum slippage tolerance
- Large Predictions (over $100): Automatic routing to RFQ system
- Institutional Predictions (over $200): MEV protection with batch execution
- Predictable Costs: Know maximum cost before trade execution
- Fair Pricing: Protection against price manipulation
- Automatic Optimization: System finds best execution path
- Refund Protection: Excess funds returned if better price achieved
Revenue Model
Revenue Model
Sustainable Protocol EconomicsRevenue Sources:
- 2% platform fee on all trades
- Interest earned on idle USDC deposits
- Potential MEV capture from transaction ordering
- Monthly $KASH token buybacks
- Protocol development and security improvements
- User acquisition and community rewards
- Automated liquidity provisioning for new markets
Advanced Features
Flexible Trading OptionsBuying and Selling:
- Purchase YES or NO shares at current market price
- Exit positions before market resolution
- Sell into automated liquidity pool
- Lock in profits or limit losses
- Real-time position values and P&L
- Historical performance analytics
- Export capabilities for tax reporting
Resolution and Settlement
Trusted Data Sources
Trusted Data Sources
Pre-Defined Resolution CriteriaEach market specifies exact resolution parameters:
- Primary Sources: Official websites, APIs, verified data feeds
- Secondary Sources: Backup verification from reputable outlets
- Resolution Criteria: Specific language defining winning conditions
- Dispute Process: Community governance for edge cases
- Government agencies and official bodies
- Sports leagues and official results pages
- Financial data providers (Bloomberg, Reuters)
- Company investor relations and SEC filings
Cryptographic Resolution Process
Cryptographic Resolution Process
Trustless Settlement with Zero-Knowledge ProofsHow It Works (Step-by-Step):Privacy-Preserving Features:Cryptographic Guarantees:
- Market Closure: Trading stops at predetermined time
- Secure Data Fetching: AI agent connects to pre-specified trusted source (e.g., official results page)
- zkTLS Authentication: Cryptographic proof generated that data actually came from the claimed website
- AI Analysis: Natural Language Processing model analyzes the fetched data to determine YES/NO outcome
- Zero-Knowledge Proof: Mathematical proof generated that the AI model made the correct decision on authentic data
- Blockchain Verification: Combined proof submitted to smart contract on Base blockchain
- Instant Settlement: Contract automatically pays winners $1.00 per winning share
- No human bias - AI follows predetermined rules consistently
- Cryptographically secure - impossible to fake data sources or manipulate AI decisions
- Instant resolution - no waiting for committees or manual verification
- Publicly verifiable - anyone can check that resolution was correct
- Dispute-resistant - mathematical proofs eliminate most potential disagreements
- Open Model Weights: All AI model parameters publicly available for inspection
- Deterministic Inference: Same inputs always produce identical outputs
- Cryptographic Commitment: Model weights committed to blockchain before market creation
- Version Control: All model updates tracked and governed by community
- Reproducible Results: Anyone can verify AI decisions using public weights
- Model Transparency: Complete neural network architecture publicly documented
- Training Data Disclosure: Information about training datasets and methodologies
- Bias Detection: Community can analyze models for potential biases or manipulation
- Selective Disclosure: Only necessary data elements are revealed in proofs
- Data Minimization: Personal information in source data is automatically redacted
- Computation Privacy: AI inference happens without exposing sensitive intermediate values
- Audit Without Exposure: Verification possible without revealing private data sources
- Layer 1 - Data Authenticity: zkTLS proves data came from claimed source
- Layer 2 - AI Inference: EZKL proves correct model execution on authentic data
- Layer 3 - Result Verification: Combined proof submitted to Base blockchain
- Layer 4 - Community Audit: Public verification of entire proof chain
- Non-repudiation: Impossible to deny data source or AI decision
- Immutability: Proofs cannot be modified after generation
- Verifiability: Anyone can independently verify the proof chain
- Privacy-Preservation: Sensitive data elements remain hidden
Edge Case Handling
Edge Case Handling
Comprehensive CoverageMarket Invalidation:
- Event cancelled or significantly changed
- All participants receive full refund of original stakes
- No fees charged for invalid markets
- Community governance process activated
- $KASH token holders vote on resolution
- Majority decision determines final outcome
- Backup resolution mechanisms available
- User funds always protected
Understanding these market mechanics gives you an edge in prediction trading. The combination of AI validation, automated liquidity, and cryptographic resolution creates the most advanced prediction market system available.