The life of a market
1
Live: trading is open
From launch until shortly before its resolution time, you can buy and sell any outcome. Prices move with every trade, so they reflect the latest information.
2
Frozen: trading closes
Trading closes shortly before the resolution time, and the market page shows exactly when.
3
Waiting for resolution
Once the resolution time passes, Kash’s automated resolution system proposes the outcome from the market’s published sources and rules. A short dispute window follows, during which any signed-in user can challenge the proposed result.
4
Resolved: winning positions become claimable
When the window closes without an open dispute, the market settles. Winning positions become claimable in your Portfolio.
5
If a market can't resolve: refunds
A market can be cancelled when its rules require it, or if it can’t be resolved after its resolution time. Every holder is then refunded at the snapshot price taken at cancellation, and a Claim refund button appears in your Portfolio.
Picking your moment
- Early positioning: new markets and scheduled events often offer better prices before the crowd arrives.
- When news breaks: prices adjust as public information spreads.
- Any time before the freeze: you can enter or exit whenever trading is open. You don’t have to hold until resolution.
Finding Markets
Discover prediction opportunities
Making Predictions
Learn how to predict